2024 Presidential Election: Latest Polls and Analysis

New Polls Show Trump Leading Biden in Pennsylvania

A new poll from the New York Times and Siena College, taken before the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, shows him leading President Joe Biden by three points in Pennsylvania. The poll, which was conducted from August 10-14, has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points. This is the latest in a series of polls that show Trump leading Biden in Pennsylvania, a key swing state. A recent poll from Emerson College found Trump leading by four points in Pennsylvania, while a poll from Fox News found him leading by five points.

Biden's Approval Ratings Falling

Biden's approval ratings have been declining in recent months. A recent poll from the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that just 39% of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president. This is down from 45% in June. Biden's approval ratings are particularly low among independents, with only 35% of independents approving of his job performance.

Economic Indicators Mixed

The economy has been another major factor in the 2024 presidential election. The economy has been growing, but inflation has also been rising. A recent report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics found that inflation rose by 9.1% in June, the largest increase in 40 years. This has led to concerns about the economy and has eroded Biden's support among voters.

Prediction

It is still too early to say who will win the 2024 presidential election. However, the latest polls suggest that Trump is currently leading Biden. Biden's approval ratings are also low, and the economy is facing some challenges. These factors could make it difficult for Biden to win re-election.